It is always difficult to discern what the real estate statistics for the first 6 months predict for any particular year.
This year, the end of the federal home buyer tax credit was a wild card. Buyers who put a home under contract before April 30, and closed before the end of June were eligible for up to an $8,000 benefit.
Although the expiration of the tax credit was expected to prompt a drop in home sales, the actual numbers were dramatic.
Following the expiration deadline, the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) dropped 33.3 % for homes put under contract in May of this year compared with May of 2009. (Using seasonally adjusted figures, the drop was 30%).
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